Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Laughton 47.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 61.1%
Defensive zone
Laughton 56.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 54.9%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Stepan
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Stepan
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Stepan
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
47.4% (719)
+7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.4% (129)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
45.0% (229)
+5.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Laughton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Stepan
Laughton
Home
57.7% (213)
50.2% (520)
Away
50.7% (209)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Stepan
Laughton
P1
56.3%
44.2%
P2
48.9%
49.1%
P3
57.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |