Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Wright 52.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 54.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Stepan
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
42.6% (1,318)
+3.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
45.8% (131)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
33.3% (6)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Stepan
Wright
Home
47.6% (6,608)
44.2% (746)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Stepan
Wright
P1
47.5%
44.4%
P2
45.6%
40.7%
P3
46.8%
44.0%
OT
40.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%