Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Wright 45.8% (+22.0%)
Offensive zone
Wright 53.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Stepan
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
32.3% (31)
+23.0%
On even strength, Stepan has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Wright is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Stepan
Wright
Home
57.7% (213)
38.5% (13)
Away
50.7% (209)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Stepan
Wright
P1
56.3%
40.0%
P2
48.9%
37.5%
P3
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
32.3%