Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Laczynski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Laczynski 50.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Stepan
Laczynski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stepan
Laczynski
Last 9: Stepan 5-4 Laczynski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Laczynski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laczynski
1
2
Stepan
Laczynski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Laczynski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Laczynski
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
51.1% (94)
+4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On power play, Laczynski has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laczynski shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Laczynski is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Stepan
Laczynski
Home
57.7% (213)
53.4% (58)
Away
50.7% (209)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Stepan
Laczynski
P1
56.3%
54.5%
P2
48.9%
48.4%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Laczynski
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Tanner Laczynski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Tanner Laczynski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Tanner Laczynski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Tanner Laczynski |