Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.7%). Look for Teravainen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Teravainen 47.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 59.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.0%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 52.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stepan
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stepan
Teravainen
Last 7: Stepan 2-5 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Teravainen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
1
3
Stepan
Teravainen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Stepan
Teravainen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
47.2% (392)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
38.1% (21)
+10.1%
On power play, Stepan has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Teravainen is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Stepan
Teravainen
Home
46.4% (774)
51.5% (231)
Away
47.7% (748)
40.7% (182)
By Period
Stepan
Teravainen
P1
46.7%
49.6%
P2
46.3%
48.7%
P3
48.1%
43.4%
OT
47.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |