Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Teravainen 51.4% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 69.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Stepan
Teravainen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
55.8% (43)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
0.0% (1)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Teravainen is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Stepan
Teravainen
Home
54.5% (222)
56.0% (25)
Away
57.2% (222)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Stepan
Teravainen
P1
57.5%
63.2%
P2
54.7%
53.3%
P3
55.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
54.5%