Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Brent 51.8% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 94.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 87.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Stepan
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stepan
Brent
Last 7: Stepan 1-6 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brent
1
3
Stepan
Brent
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
Stepan
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
0
2
Stepan
Brent
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
52.8% (563)
-14.2%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
54.5% (22)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
51.0% (198)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Brent has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Stepan is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Stepan shoots right. Brent is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brent
Home
39.0% (364)
50.5% (384)
Away
38.0% (355)
53.5% (404)
By Period
Stepan
Brent
P1
39.4%
54.9%
P2
40.6%
52.5%
P3
36.4%
48.7%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tim Brent |