Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Brent 50.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Brent leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 79.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 75.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Stepan
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Stepan
Brent
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brent
1
4
Stepan
Brent
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Brent
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
0
4
Stepan
Brent
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.2% (1,234)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
58.2% (91)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
51.7% (267)
-7.5%
On power play, Brent has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Brent is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brent
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.6% (779)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Stepan
Brent
P1
47.5%
54.2%
P2
45.6%
49.3%
P3
46.8%
48.8%
OT
40.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tim Brent |