Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Meier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Meier 43.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Meier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Meier 70.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Stepan
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stepan
Meier
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
1
2
Stepan
Meier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Meier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Meier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
41.2% (468)
+5.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.0% (100)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
35.7% (14)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Meier is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Stepan
Meier
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.2% (280)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
42.1% (302)
By Period
Stepan
Meier
P1
47.5%
43.0%
P2
45.6%
44.4%
P3
46.8%
40.0%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Timo Meier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Timo Meier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Timo Meier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Timo Meier |