Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Meier 45.2% (+17.5%)
Offensive zone
Meier 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Stepan
Meier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
35.7% (56)
+19.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On power play, Meier has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Meier is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Stepan
Meier
Home
57.7% (213)
46.9% (32)
Away
50.7% (209)
24.0% (25)
By Period
Stepan
Meier
P1
56.3%
40.0%
P2
48.9%
41.2%
P3
57.1%
12.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
36.8%