Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Meier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Meier 49.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Meier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Meier 50.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 57.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Stepan
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stepan
Meier
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
1
2
Stepan
Meier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Meier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Meier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
49.6% (129)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
43.8% (16)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
0.0% (1)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Meier is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Stepan
Meier
Home
48.2% (761)
46.6% (73)
Away
47.3% (789)
50.7% (73)
By Period
Stepan
Meier
P1
46.3%
53.3%
P2
50.4%
49.2%
P3
46.3%
43.6%
OT
55.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Timo Meier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Timo Meier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Timo Meier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Timo Meier |