Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Plekanec 49.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 73.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Stepan
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Stepan
Plekanec
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
6
Stepan
Plekanec
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Stepan
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
6
Stepan
Plekanec
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
49.8% (1,199)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
51.7% (240)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
47.2% (176)
+0.3%
On power play, Plekanec has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Plekanec is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Stepan
Plekanec
Home
47.7% (555)
48.9% (807)
Away
45.6% (548)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Stepan
Plekanec
P1
46.4%
52.2%
P2
45.7%
49.4%
P3
48.5%
47.4%
OT
35.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |