Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 69-54 in 123 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 79.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 67.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Stepan
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
69
(123 meetings)
54
69
Stepan
Plekanec
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
28
16
Stepan
Plekanec
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
13
26
Stepan
Plekanec
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
13
27
Stepan
Plekanec
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.8% (8,558)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.3% (1,151)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
46.0% (1,924)
-1.8%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Stepan
Plekanec
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Stepan
Plekanec
P1
47.5%
52.5%
P2
45.6%
48.9%
P3
46.8%
49.0%
OT
40.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |