Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stepan wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Zajac 56.7% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 25-11 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 93.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 94.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 93.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Stepan
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
25
(36 meetings)
11
25
Stepan
Zajac
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
7
Stepan
Zajac
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
8
Stepan
Zajac
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
6
10
Stepan
Zajac
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
56.6% (641)
-8.6%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
64.9% (148)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
51.1% (92)
-9.5%
On power play, Zajac has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Stepan shoots right. Zajac is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zajac
Home
47.4% (460)
57.2% (444)
Away
44.5% (517)
57.7% (437)
By Period
Stepan
Zajac
P1
50.3%
54.4%
P2
38.4%
61.5%
P3
49.4%
56.0%
OT
27.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |