Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 80 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Zajac 54.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 120-62 in 182 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 85.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 96.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 95.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Stepan
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
62
-
120
(182 meetings)
62
120
Stepan
Zajac
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
19
29
Stepan
Zajac
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
20
34
Stepan
Zajac
54 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
23
57
Stepan
Zajac
80 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
54.4% (9,056)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
59.1% (1,498)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.6% (1,599)
-4.4%
On power play, Zajac has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zajac
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Stepan
Zajac
P1
47.5%
53.8%
P2
45.6%
55.6%
P3
46.8%
53.6%
OT
40.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2019 | OT | 00:55 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |