Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Zajac 50.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 90.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 73.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Stepan
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Stepan
Zajac
Last 6: Stepan 0-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Stepan
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Stepan
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Stepan
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
50.8% (775)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
61.5% (117)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
45.0% (202)
+2.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Zajac is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zajac
Home
48.2% (761)
52.2% (536)
Away
47.3% (789)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Stepan
Zajac
P1
46.3%
53.6%
P2
50.4%
50.9%
P3
46.3%
48.7%
OT
55.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |