Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Ennis 41.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 71.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Stepan
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Stepan
Ennis
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
4
Stepan
Ennis
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
1
Stepan
Ennis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
3
Stepan
Ennis
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
40.7% (1,404)
+5.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
45.5% (167)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
38.1% (21)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Stepan
Ennis
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.6% (834)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Stepan
Ennis
P1
47.5%
39.4%
P2
45.6%
43.1%
P3
46.8%
41.7%
OT
40.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 25, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |