Derek Stepan vs Vinnie Hinostroza
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hinostroza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Hinostroza 47.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hinostroza 60.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hinostroza 51.9%
Result
Vinnie Hinostroza favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Stepan
Hinostroza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Hinostroza
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Hinostroza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
0
1
Stepan
Hinostroza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
0
1
Stepan
Hinostroza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
1
2
Stepan
Hinostroza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
42.7% (82)
+4.3%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
57.1% (7)
-5.4%
On power play, Hinostroza has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Hinostroza is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hinostroza
Home
48.2% (761)
41.7% (60)
Away
47.3% (789)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Stepan
Hinostroza
P1
46.3%
56.7%
P2
50.4%
37.9%
P3
46.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Hinostroza
50.0%▲
41.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |