Derek Stepan vs Vinnie Hinostroza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hinostroza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Hinostroza 41.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hinostroza 72.5%
Defensive zone
Hinostroza 57.5%
Neutral zone
Hinostroza 56.2%
Result
Vinnie Hinostroza favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Stepan
Hinostroza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Hinostroza
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Hinostroza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
0
1
Stepan
Hinostroza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Hinostroza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
1
2
Stepan
Hinostroza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
39.4% (540)
+7.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
62.5% (32)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
0.0% (5)
+44.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Hinostroza is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hinostroza
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.5% (347)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
35.7% (230)
By Period
Stepan
Hinostroza
P1
47.5%
41.5%
P2
45.6%
40.4%
P3
46.8%
39.3%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Hinostroza
50.0%▲
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |