Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Sobotka 51.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 78.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 67.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Stepan
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stepan
Sobotka
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
8
Stepan
Sobotka
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
52.9% (522)
-6.1%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
46.7% (15)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
46.1% (76)
+2.2%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Sobotka is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sobotka
Home
48.6% (666)
53.8% (314)
Away
46.1% (710)
49.8% (299)
By Period
Stepan
Sobotka
P1
46.3%
52.2%
P2
50.7%
52.2%
P3
45.5%
51.1%
OT
39.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |