Derek Stepan vs Vladimir Sobotka
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Stepan
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Stepan
Sobotka
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Sobotka
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
9
Stepan
Sobotka
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
3
Stepan
Sobotka
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
56.9% (2,613)
-10.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
57.0% (223)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
50.6% (447)
-6.4%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Sobotka is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sobotka
Home
47.6% (6,608)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Stepan
Sobotka
P1
47.5%
56.2%
P2
45.6%
56.3%
P3
46.8%
55.3%
OT
40.7%
61.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |