Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.3% vs Brassard 49.1% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Erne 53.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 56.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 53.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Erne
Brassard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (179)
48.7% (8,464)
+4.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
52.3% (1,260)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.3% (179)
+3.5%
On power play, Brassard has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Erne is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Erne shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Erne
Brassard
Home
57.8% (109)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
45.5% (99)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Erne
Brassard
P1
59.0%
49.0%
P2
48.6%
49.8%
P3
45.3%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
51.9%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%