Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Brassard 50.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 60.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 54.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Tierney
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tierney
Brassard
Last 9: Tierney 6-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
3
Tierney
Brassard
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
49.7% (1,057)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
52.3% (155)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
46.2% (13)
-2.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Home / Away
Tierney
Brassard
Home
50.7% (420)
53.7% (616)
Away
46.3% (406)
46.1% (609)
By Period
Tierney
Brassard
P1
45.2%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
50.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |