Connor McDavid vs Derick Brassard
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Brassard 50.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 68.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 73.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 68.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
McDavid
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Brassard
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
Brassard
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
49.7% (1,057)
-6.4%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
52.3% (155)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
46.2% (13)
-4.3%
On power play, Brassard has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Home / Away
McDavid
Brassard
Home
48.7% (413)
53.7% (616)
Away
37.4% (393)
46.1% (609)
By Period
McDavid
Brassard
P1
38.8%
47.2%
P2
46.8%
50.9%
P3
44.2%
51.5%
OT
45.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |