Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Staal 51.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Brassard
Staal
Last 7: Brassard 6-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
0
Brassard
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
48.8% (514)
-0.3%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
59.2% (147)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
62.5% (8)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
51.7% (689)
57.8% (277)
Away
45.9% (687)
46.7% (392)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
51.2%
P3
45.9%
53.4%
OT
52.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |