Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Staal 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 51.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
23
(45 meetings)
22
23
Brassard
Staal
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
12
7
Brassard
Staal
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
6
Brassard
Staal
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
10
Brassard
Staal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
50.5% (10,347)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
53.5% (2,023)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.2% (781)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
50.6% (5,020)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
49.0%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
51.1%
P3
48.4%
50.4%
OT
51.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |