Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Eichel 45.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 62.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Brassard
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brassard
Eichel
Last 5: Brassard 3-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Brassard
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
45.5% (708)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
51.9% (54)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
29.0% (31)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Brassard
Eichel
Home
51.7% (143)
46.1% (388)
Away
48.3% (143)
44.4% (405)
By Period
Brassard
Eichel
P1
46.4%
46.8%
P2
50.6%
43.4%
P3
53.9%
45.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |