Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Spezza 52.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 59.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Brassard
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Brassard
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
53.7% (451)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
54.3% (92)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
38.2% (34)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Brassard
Spezza
Home
52.1% (211)
55.0% (282)
Away
49.6% (119)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Brassard
Spezza
P1
47.3%
53.1%
P2
56.6%
53.2%
P3
47.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |