Derick Brassard vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Pageau 54.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 80.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 57.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 70.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Brassard
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Brassard
Pageau
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
9
5
Brassard
Pageau
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
15
Brassard
Pageau
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
6
Brassard
Pageau
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
55.7% (9,486)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
57.0% (1,002)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
49.6% (2,069)
+0.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pageau
Home
50.6% (5,020)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Brassard
Pageau
P1
49.0%
54.6%
P2
49.8%
56.3%
P3
48.4%
53.5%
OT
51.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |