Derick Brassard vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.2%). Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Brassard 49.1% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 53.5%
Defensive zone Brassard 57.8%
Neutral zone Brassard 50.7%
Result Derick Brassard favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Brassard Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 5 (9 meetings)
4
5
Brassard Kotkaniemi
Last 9: Brassard 4-5 Kotkaniemi

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Brassard Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
3
Brassard Kotkaniemi
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
49.0% (3,852)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.3% (351)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
45.7% (35)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +4.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.0%
49.9%
P2
49.8%
50.4%
P3
48.4%
47.2%
OT
51.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%
52.0%
49.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
49.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 24, 2023 1 06:29 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Nov 12, 2021 3 05:40 Neutral Derick Brassard
Feb 17, 2019 3 04:33 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Feb 17, 2019 2 18:28 Defensive Derick Brassard
Feb 17, 2019 1 10:55 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Feb 17, 2019 1 07:11 Defensive Derick Brassard
Oct 6, 2018 3 05:09 Defensive Derick Brassard
Oct 6, 2018 2 12:43 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 6, 2018 2 01:49 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi