Derick Brassard vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.2%). Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 57.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
Last 9: Brassard 4-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
3
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
49.0% (3,852)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.3% (351)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
45.7% (35)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Brassard
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.0%
49.9%
P2
49.8%
50.4%
P3
48.4%
47.2%
OT
51.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |