Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Vitale 55.0% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 56.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 72.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 66.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Brassard
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brassard
Vitale
Last 5: Brassard 3-2 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Brassard
Vitale
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Brassard
Vitale
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Vitale
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
55.9% (646)
-10.8%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
100.0% (12)
-51.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
47.5% (61)
+2.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Brassard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Brassard shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Brassard
Vitale
Home
45.4% (284)
56.9% (383)
Away
44.7% (333)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Brassard
Vitale
P1
51.2%
51.5%
P2
40.3%
58.2%
P3
43.2%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |