Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Vitale 54.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 78.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 61.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 59.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Brassard
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Brassard
Vitale
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
4
Brassard
Vitale
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
8
Brassard
Vitale
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
0
Brassard
Vitale
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
55.9% (1,771)
-7.2%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
76.0% (25)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
47.1% (297)
+3.2%
On power play, Vitale has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Home / Away
Brassard
Vitale
Home
50.6% (5,020)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Brassard
Vitale
P1
49.0%
52.9%
P2
49.8%
53.8%
P3
48.4%
57.5%
OT
51.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |