Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Vitale 59.5% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 83.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 57.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 65.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Brassard
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Brassard
Vitale
Last 9: Brassard 3-6 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Vitale
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
4
Brassard
Vitale
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Vitale
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
61.7% (274)
-15.5%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
75.0% (4)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
66.7% (42)
-16.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Brassard is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Brassard shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Brassard
Vitale
Home
47.5% (459)
69.7% (152)
Away
48.5% (518)
56.0% (168)
By Period
Brassard
Vitale
P1
48.0%
55.9%
P2
50.1%
65.2%
P3
44.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |