Derick Brassard vs Johan Larsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 31-23 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 78.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 79.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Brassard
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
23
(54 meetings)
31
23
Brassard
Larsson
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
15
2
Brassard
Larsson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
7
15
Brassard
Larsson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
9
6
Brassard
Larsson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
50.5% (4,382)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
47.7% (153)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
43.8% (714)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larsson
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Brassard
Larsson
P1
49.0%
51.6%
P2
49.8%
49.7%
P3
48.4%
47.2%
OT
51.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 14, 2019 | OT | 01:28 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |