Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Larsson 46.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 77.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Brassard
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Brassard
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
46.7% (345)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
61.1% (18)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
39.0% (59)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larsson
Home
52.1% (211)
52.1% (167)
Away
49.6% (119)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Brassard
Larsson
P1
47.3%
50.0%
P2
56.6%
46.7%
P3
47.8%
42.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |