Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Larsson 45.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 67.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Brassard
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Larsson
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Brassard
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
45.2% (290)
+3.3%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
38.6% (44)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
28.6% (7)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larsson
Home
51.7% (689)
45.1% (153)
Away
45.9% (687)
43.1% (188)
By Period
Brassard
Larsson
P1
48.1%
45.3%
P2
51.8%
41.4%
P3
45.9%
44.0%
OT
52.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |