Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Tavares 50.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 69.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 57.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Brassard
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Tavares
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Brassard
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Brassard
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
48.7% (1,202)
+1.0%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
59.3% (305)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
47.9% (121)
-1.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Brassard
Tavares
Home
53.7% (616)
52.1% (841)
Away
46.1% (609)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Brassard
Tavares
P1
47.2%
52.2%
P2
50.9%
50.7%
P3
51.5%
49.7%
OT
70.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |