Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 76.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 54.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Brassard
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Brassard
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
57.5% (914)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
60.5% (309)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Brassard
Tavares
Home
51.7% (143)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.3% (143)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Brassard
Tavares
P1
46.4%
58.6%
P2
50.6%
57.8%
P3
53.9%
58.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |