Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.9%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Staal 47.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Brassard
Staal
Last 6: Brassard 0-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Brassard
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Brassard
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
47.6% (552)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
49.1% (110)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
37.8% (111)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
47.9% (447)
49.8% (400)
Away
45.4% (441)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
48.7%
53.7%
P2
44.3%
43.9%
P3
47.2%
43.5%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |