Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Staal 56.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 66.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 71.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Staal
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Brassard
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Brassard
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
58.9% (1,041)
-8.0%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
53.4% (73)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
49.1% (171)
+0.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
52.1% (211)
59.0% (578)
Away
49.6% (119)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
47.3%
57.1%
P2
56.6%
60.9%
P3
47.8%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |