Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Staal 58.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 70.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Brassard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Brassard
Staal
Last 10: Brassard 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
3
Brassard
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
59.1% (888)
-9.4%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
66.9% (121)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
52.6% (156)
-6.4%
On power play, Staal has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Brassard
Staal
Home
53.7% (616)
61.2% (600)
Away
46.1% (609)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Brassard
Staal
P1
47.2%
57.5%
P2
50.9%
60.1%
P3
51.5%
59.1%
OT
70.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |