Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Hayes 47.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 31-14 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 73.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 53.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 58.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Brassard
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
14
(45 meetings)
31
14
Brassard
Hayes
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
11
6
Brassard
Hayes
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
9
3
Brassard
Hayes
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
11
5
Brassard
Hayes
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.7% (702)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
45.3% (697)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hayes
Home
50.6% (5,020)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Brassard
Hayes
P1
49.0%
47.5%
P2
49.8%
47.6%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
51.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |