Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 51.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Brassard
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
42.7% (478)
+8.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
42.9% (98)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.2% (31)
+4.8%
On power play, Brassard has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hayes
Home
52.1% (211)
43.5% (232)
Away
49.6% (119)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Brassard
Hayes
P1
47.3%
40.1%
P2
56.6%
44.8%
P3
47.8%
42.4%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%