Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Hayes 46.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 17-3 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 88.9%
Defensive zone
Brassard 61.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 76.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Brassard
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
3
(20 meetings)
17
3
Brassard
Hayes
Last 10: Brassard 9-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
9
2
Brassard
Hayes
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
6
1
Brassard
Hayes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
45.4% (788)
+4.3%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
50.0% (56)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
45.2% (124)
+1.0%
On even strength, Brassard has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hayes
Home
53.7% (616)
46.6% (459)
Away
46.1% (609)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Brassard
Hayes
P1
47.2%
43.0%
P2
50.9%
49.5%
P3
51.5%
44.7%
OT
70.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |