Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Couture 48.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 56.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Brassard
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brassard
Couture
Last 7: Brassard 5-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
49.3% (879)
-0.8%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
61.3% (31)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
31.3% (80)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Couture is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Brassard
Couture
Home
51.7% (689)
51.4% (521)
Away
45.9% (687)
44.6% (469)
By Period
Brassard
Couture
P1
48.1%
44.0%
P2
51.8%
48.3%
P3
45.9%
53.1%
OT
52.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |