Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Couture 47.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 51.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 51.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Brassard
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Brassard
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Brassard
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.2% (1,083)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
56.7% (60)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
35.4% (206)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Brassard
Couture
Home
51.7% (143)
49.6% (713)
Away
48.3% (143)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Brassard
Couture
P1
46.4%
47.2%
P2
50.6%
45.0%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |