Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Shaw 45.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 75.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 53.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 54.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Brassard
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Brassard
Shaw
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Shaw
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
2
Brassard
Shaw
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
3
Brassard
Shaw
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
46.4% (418)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
66.7% (6)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
35.4% (96)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Brassard
Shaw
Home
50.6% (5,020)
46.2% (236)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Brassard
Shaw
P1
49.0%
41.3%
P2
49.8%
46.4%
P3
48.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |