Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.4%). Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Shaw 50.2% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 72.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Brassard
Shaw
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
57.5% (80)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
100.0% (1)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
32.4% (34)
+17.6%
On power play, Shaw has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Shaw is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Brassard
Shaw
Home
52.1% (211)
56.9% (58)
Away
49.6% (119)
43.9% (57)
By Period
Brassard
Shaw
P1
47.3%
43.6%
P2
56.6%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.4%