Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Frost 46.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 65.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Brassard
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Brassard
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
45.6% (833)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
46.0% (100)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
On power play, Brassard has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Brassard
Frost
Home
51.7% (143)
47.0% (440)
Away
48.3% (143)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Brassard
Frost
P1
46.4%
42.5%
P2
50.6%
47.9%
P3
53.9%
46.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |