Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Thompson 53.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 91.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 57.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 77.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Brassard
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Thompson
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Brassard
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Brassard
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
56.1% (478)
-10.9%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
57.1% (14)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
47.6% (164)
+8.0%
On even strength, Thompson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. Thompson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thompson
Home
47.9% (447)
55.2% (315)
Away
45.4% (441)
53.3% (349)
By Period
Brassard
Thompson
P1
48.7%
57.5%
P2
44.3%
54.2%
P3
47.2%
51.1%
OT
36.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |